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Do stocks beat prediction markets? For most people, yes

Samantha Lee
Reporter · Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM · 1 min read
Do stocks beat prediction markets? For most people, yes — Bloomington Community news

The Motley Fool reports that over 82% of Polymarket wallets lost money in 2025, highlighting the risks of prediction markets compared to the steady returns of the S&P 500.

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